Heads I Win, Tails You Lose

Test this precon

Before you buy it: goldfish an opening hand, or simulate thousands of games to see how consistently Okaun, Eye of Chaos comes down on curve. Nothing is saved.

Okaun, Eye of Chaos stays in the command zone — this goldfishes the other 98 cards. Draw an opening seven, mulligan with the London rule, and step turns to see how the deck plays out.

Draw probabilities

Hypergeometric odds over a 98-card library (the deck minus your commander).

96.8%chance of ≥1 in 7 cards

Lands by turn — 37 lands

TurnCards seen≥1 land≥2 lands≥3 lands
1796.8%82.0%53.4%
2898.1%87.9%64.4%
3998.9%92.0%73.5%
41099.4%94.8%80.8%
51199.6%96.6%86.3%
61299.8%97.9%90.5%
Test Heads I Win, Tails You Lose — Mauldron — Mauldron